Warning signs in PA-12
Apr 30, 2010 | Posted by Guy

I blogged a few weeks ago about Democrats worried about the special election to replace the deceased John Murtha.  Polling since that post indicates that the Republican, Tim Burns, may be poised to defeat Democrat Mark Critz.  A Research 2000 poll today fits right into that narrative:

   Mark Critz (D): 40
    Tim Burns (R): 46
    Undecided: 14
    (MoE: ?4%)

This district was trending Republican even while Murtha held office.  It is one of the few in the nation where Barack Obama received less of the vote than John Kerry did in 2004.  If the district goes Republican on May 18, it will be a serious black eye for the Democratic party.