Why Republicans are Likely to Win in Hawaii Tomorrow – And Why You Shouldn’t Care
May 21, 2010
On Saturday there will be a special election in Hawaii to fill the congressional seat being left open by Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), who resigned to run for Governor. All indications are that the election will be won by Republican businessman Charles Djou.
This is not a seat that should be won by Republicans. It is solidly Democratic, and, in fact, is the home district of Barack Obama. However, a Republican win here is due entirely to circumstances unique to this election. Any attempt to portray this election as an indicator of the national mood or Republican prospects in November should be studiously ignored.
In the House - House Election News - Dems Fear Scott Brown Redux
Apr 08, 2010
Nervous Democrats Eye May Special Elections
Politico is reporting that Democratic strategists are nervous about upcoming special elections in Hawaii and Pennsylvania. Both seats have been held by Democrats for years – Neil Abercombie in Hawaii, who is running for Governor (not Senate as originally posted - sorry for the typo - Guy) and the recently deceased John Murtha in Pennsylvania. Democrats fear that circumstances unique to these congressional districts could spur Republican wins next month. If that were to happen the national media might portray the elections as indications that there is a nation-wide anti-Obama mood, which might lead to widespread Democratic losses in November.
In The House - House Election News - Down on the boardwalk they're gettin’ ready for a fight
Mar 18, 2010
New Jersey Primary is Back On!
I blogged a few weeks ago that Republicans had avoided a nasty primary fight in NJ-03. Oops! Looks like I spoke to soon. 2008 candidate Justin Murphy announced his candidacy last week.
Murphy was quick to attack his Republican opponent, ex-Philadelphia Eagle Jon Runyan, for lacking “substance” and coming late to the game, “while he's been a registered Republican for three months, I've been a registered Republican for 30 years." He plans to attack Runyan from the right. Sounds like it could get nasty.
Whoever wins will face freshman Rep. John Adler (D) who was endorsed by Council for a Livable World in 2008.

