Why Republicans are Likely to Win in Hawaii Tomorrow – And Why You Shouldn’t Care
May 21, 2010

Actually, Not a Wave

Actually, Not a Wave

On Saturday there will be a special election in Hawaii to fill the congressional seat being left open by Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), who resigned to run for Governor.  All indications are that the election will be won by Republican businessman Charles Djou.

This is not a seat that should be won by Republicans.  It is solidly Democratic, and, in fact, is the home district of Barack Obama.  However, a Republican win here is due entirely to circumstances unique to this election.  Any attempt to portray this election as an indicator of the national mood or Republican prospects in November should be studiously ignored.

In the House - House Election News - Dems Fear Scott Brown Redux
Apr 08, 2010

Nervous Democrats Eye May Special Elections

Politico is reporting that Democratic strategists are nervous about upcoming special elections in Hawaii and Pennsylvania.  Both seats have been held by Democrats for years – Neil Abercombie in Hawaii, who is running for Governor (not Senate as originally posted - sorry for the typo - Guy) and the recently deceased John Murtha in Pennsylvania.  Democrats fear that circumstances unique to these congressional districts could spur Republican wins next month.  If that were to happen the national media might portray the elections as indications that there is a nation-wide anti-Obama mood, which might lead to widespread Democratic losses in November.


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