A project of Council for a Livable World, the "sweet voice of reason" on nuclear weapons, national security, and Congress since our founding in 1962 by Manhattan Project scientist Leo Szilard.
Tuesday’s Primary Results – What Do They Tell Us?
06/09/2010 12:21:39 PM EST
In one of the busiest voting days of the year, 8 states held primary elections yesterday. The only busier voting day before the general elections on November 2nd will be September 14th, when 8 states and the District of Columbia go to the polls. With so many elections being held, is there a message that can be drawn to make a prediction for what will happen in November.
The only message that can be drawn from yesterday’s elections is that there is no single overarching narrative for the 2010 elections.
Why Republicans are Likely to Win in Hawaii Tomorrow – And Why You Shouldn’t Care
05/21/2010 12:28:17 PM EST
On Saturday there will be a special election in Hawaii to fill the congressional seat being left open by Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), who resigned to run for Governor. All indications are that the election will be won by Republican businessman Charles Djou.
This is not a seat that should be won by Republicans. It is solidly Democratic, and, in fact, is the home district of Barack Obama. However, a Republican win here is due entirely to circumstances unique to this election. Any attempt to portray this election as an indicator of the national mood or Republican prospects in November should be studiously ignored.
Lessons from Tuesday’s Elections – This is not 1994
05/20/2010 04:05:01 PM EST
Political professionals were looking at the primary and special elections held on Tuesday as the single most telling indicator of what the dynamics will be for the general elections in November. So now that the results are in, what conclusions can we draw?
Republicans were hoping that Tuesday’s elections would confirm their hope that a nationwide wave, similar to that in the 1994 elections, is building which would lead to landslide Republican victories in November and returning them control of the House of Representatives. Tuesday’s elections seriously undermined this narrative.